Results
Top Rated won 2, placed 5 of 9; expected wins at lock odds 2.4. The winner came from our top 3 in 4 of 9.
Fractional is the nearest UK-style price. HK tote odds are decimal; the decimal figure is exact.
NAP and NB
Picked by a fixed rule (v2) before Race 1: turf races on our model's early rating before odds, all-weather races on our model blended 50/50 with the market. A price is shown only where the market is part of the rating.
Race by race
| Race | Top Rated | Threat | E/W 3rd | Winner | Winner in our top 3? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R110:40 UK | #1 Loving Vibes 3.4 4th | #4 Mapogo 9.6 5th | #7 Always My Folks 7.7 2nd | Comet Radiance | No |
| R211:10 UK | #9 Lucky Blessing 5.3 11th | #1 Lovely Miles 8.3 8th | #3 Gor Gor 12.0 6th | Winning Diamond | No |
| R311:40 UK | #1 Brownneedsfurther 4.5 1st | #5 Dan Attack 3.9 5th | #3 Master Champion 7.9 11th | Brownneedsfurther | Yes |
| R412:10 UK | #10 Quick Contribution 3.4 11th | #12 Prestige Ricky 5.4 7th | #8 Gazeley 6.4 6th | Viva Firecracker | No |
| R512:40 UK | #8 Packing Smart 2.1 2nd | #6 Unstoppaple 5.7 8th | #1 Mr Desira 8.3 12th | Flying Ting Lok | No |
| R613:10 UK | #1 Storming Dragon 2.6 1st | #4 Friends Of Shajing 5.9 8th | #11 Kwai Chung Talents 7.6 4th | Storming Dragon | Yes |
| R713:45 UK | #5 Flow Water Flow 3.7 3rd | #8 Do Your Part 6.5 1st | #2 Solid Win 8.7 5th | Do Your Part | Yes |
| R814:15 UK | #9 Live Wire 2.5 7th | #8 Four Stars Align 5.0 2nd | #6 Flashing Fighter 9.3 3rd | Target Audience | No |
| R914:50 UK | #1 Ace Champion 2.4 2nd | #7 Quantum Cloud 5.8 3rd | #10 California Blitz 10.0 1st | California Blitz | Yes |
Odds are the price at the lock. Green = won, blue = placed, red = unplaced. Ratings are a 50/50 blend of our model and the market price. Each race’s locked picks are also fingerprinted in the locked-picks ledger.
The season so far
Since 1 Oct (up to this meeting): 25 Top Rated winners from 109 races; 28.0 expected at lock odds.
Without our best meeting (Sha Tin 25 Oct): 20 winners from 98 races; 24.9 expected.
Since the 50/50 blend started (7 Oct): 23 from 88 races; 23.3 expected at lock odds.
Without our best meeting since the blend (Sha Tin 25 Oct): 18 from 77 races; 20.3 expected.
Small samples swing both ways. Same wording after every meeting. How we test.