Results
Top Rated won 2, placed 4 of 4; expected wins at lock odds 1.3. The winner came from our top 3 in 2 of 4.
Fractional is the nearest UK-style price. HK tote odds are decimal; the decimal figure is exact.
NAP and NB
Picked by a fixed rule (v2) before Race 1: turf races on our model's early rating before odds, all-weather races on our model blended 50/50 with the market. A price is shown only where the market is part of the rating.
Race by race
| Race | Top Rated | Threat | E/W 3rd | Winner | Winner in our top 3? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R104:45 UK | #1 Falcon Hunter 1.7 1st | #12 Von Baer 5.6 6th | #6 Noble Fans 13.0 2nd | Falcon Hunter | Yes |
| R205:15 UK | #9 Luck Is Back 4.0 2nd | #7 Quantum Wukong 8.2 8th | #1 Exceed The Limit 8.8 3rd | Grit Spirit | No |
| R305:45 UK | #4 Incredible Moment 2.2 1st | #8 Country Pride 6.8 5th | #6 Vigor Eye 9.4 3rd | Incredible Moment | Yes |
| R406:15 UK | #2 Georgian Sigma 2.7 3rd | #6 Dragon Sky Force 4.9 6th | #9 Looking Bright 7.2 9th | Superb King | No |
Odds are the price at the lock. Green = won, blue = placed, red = unplaced. Ratings are a 50/50 blend of our model and the market price.
The season so far
Since 1 Oct (up to this meeting): 22 Top Rated winners from 94 races; 24.1 expected at lock odds.
Since the 50/50 blend started (7 Oct): 20 from 73 races; 19.5 expected at lock odds.
Small samples swing both ways. Same wording after every meeting. How we test.