Results
Top Rated won 3, placed 6 of 11; expected wins at lock odds 3.0. The winner came from our top 3 in 5 of 11.
Fractional is the nearest UK-style price. HK tote odds are decimal; the decimal figure is exact.
Race by race
| Race | Top Rated | Threat | E/W 3rd | Winner | Winner in our top 3? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R105:30 UK | #1 Star Brose 4.9 5th | #4 Kingly Demeanor 3.8 4th | #6 I Excelle 6.2 1st | I Excelle | Yes |
| R206:00 UK | #10 Invictus 4.9 6th | #8 Ghorgan 2.4 10th | #11 Shotgun 4.6 5th | Shannon Glow | No |
| R306:30 UK | #2 Victor Supreme 2.7 2nd | #5 Amazing Gaze 8.7 3rd | #9 Lucky Year 4.7 9th | Good Good | No |
| R407:00 UK | #7 Not Usual Double 5.6 5th | #4 California Waves 5.1 3rd | #12 Just Follow Me 8.1 7th | Star Satyr | No |
| R507:30 UK | #2 Wolf Coming 3.1 8th | #12 Cirrus Speed 4.6 3rd | #10 Navas G 7.0 2nd | Gutsy Bravo | No |
| R608:00 UK | #3 Ruby Thrive 3.6 4th | #8 Zouper Fellow 8.7 11th | #10 Sunny Q 14.0 3rd | Supreme Voyager | No |
| R708:35 UK | #4 Ace Eagle 2.3 1st | #10 Ka Ying Radiance 5.3 11th | #3 Solid Car 8.0 3rd | Ace Eagle | Yes |
| R809:05 UK | #2 My Wish 2.0 3rd | #10 Sky Jewellery 5.2 4th | #7 Light Years Charm 16.0 1st | Light Years Charm | Yes |
| R909:40 UK | #8 Gloryspeed 3.2 3rd | #1 Mr Incredible 3.6 2nd | #10 Happy Shooter 6.2 5th | Grand Eagle | No |
| R1010:15 UK | #1 Packing Fighter 1.9 1st | #7 Joyful Joy 6.3 4th | #14 Master Lucky 7.8 8th | Packing Fighter | Yes |
| R1110:50 UK | #8 Baby Sakura 3.2 1st | #13 Nyx Gluck 4.5 2nd | #6 Aeroinvincible 13.0 4th | Baby Sakura | Yes |
Odds are the price at the lock. Green = won, blue = placed, red = unplaced. Ratings are a 50/50 blend of our model and the market price.
The season so far
Since 1 Oct (up to this meeting): 10 Top Rated winners from 61 races; 15.5 expected at lock odds.
Since the 50/50 blend started (7 Oct): 8 from 40 races; 10.8 expected at lock odds.
Small samples swing both ways. Same wording after every meeting. How we test.