Happy Valley · Wed 21 Oct 2026 · preview

🌙 Happy Valley Wednesday: a three-way Class 2 sprint and Kol returns

Ratings have moved since this preview was written. Early ratings are model only; once odds open we rank on a 50/50 model + market blend, which locks 4 mins before each race. The live card is the one that counts.

Updated 01:02 UK. Live ratings are for members until each race locks. Reload the page for the latest.

Nine races at Happy Valley on Wednesday 21 October, first off 11:40 UK. Zac Purton rides our early Top Rated in four of them.

🏆 The feature: Race 6, The Longines Cup, Class 2, 1000m (14:10 UK)

Our early ratings can barely split the top three:

Love Together (Alexis Badel, gate 4): 3rd last time, beaten half a length, and drops 20lb. The one question: 0 from 4 at Happy Valley.
Love Together · Early: 18.4% (model only) · Now: 🔒 members · updated 01:02 UK
Bottomuptogether (Zac Purton, gate 10): 3 wins from 4 at Happy Valley and 4 from 7 over 1000m. But he carries top weight of 135lb from the widest gate. He was our locked Top Rated at Sha Tin on 1 October and ran 3rd.
Bottomuptogether · Early: 16.9% (model only) · Now: 🔒 members · updated 01:02 UK
Horsepower (Andrea Atzeni, gate 6): won last time out at Sha Tin on 4 October and drops 17lb.
Horsepower · Early: 16.1% (model only) · Now: 🔒 members · updated 01:02 UK

Early model: 18.4%, 16.9% and 16.1%. Nothing between them.

⭐ Our strongest early rating: Kol, Race 7 (14:40 UK)

Kol won at Sha Tin on 4 October as our locked Top Rated. He's back at Happy Valley, where he's 1 from 2, with 5lb more. Early model: 33.4%, the highest on the card. Even so, that's about a 1 in 3 chance, so two times in three it goes wrong.

Kol · Early: 33.4% (model only) · Now: 🔒 members · updated 01:02 UK

👀 Also worth a look

Race 1, Ace (Purton, gate 1, 11:40 UK): 30.3% early, first time at 1650m.
Ace · Early: 30.3% (model only) · Now: 🔒 members · updated 01:02 UK
Race 8, Lucky River makes his Hong Kong debut for James Cummings, who had his first Hong Kong winner on Monday. Our model can only rate him on jockey, trainer and draw, so the market will know more than we do.
Lucky River · Early: 8.4% (model only) · Now: 🔒 members · updated 01:02 UK

How we rate (the honest bit)

These are early ratings, made before any odds. Once the market opens they're ranked on a 50/50 blend of our model and the market, and they lock 4 minutes before each race. In testing, the market alone picked more winners than our model alone, and no version we tested made a profit. Every locked rating and every result is posted, wins and misses.

Over to you: Race 6, Love Together, Bottomuptogether or Horsepower?

📲 Free Telegram for Race 1 and every result: t.me/HKracingfree

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Ratings, not tips. 18+ | Gamble responsibly

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